rdwyer@fastmail.com · junk-mail

Fed surprise smackdown?

Wed Jul 29, 2026 · 07:51 AM EDT

From: Polymarket <noreply@polymarket.com>
To: rdwyer@fastmail.com

Polygraph by PolymarketPolygraph by Polymarket ( poly.market/pXLiKMY )July 29th, 2026Unsubscribe ( track.customer.io/manage_subscription_…4t5muYkw== )
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What's on tap today:

Top NewsTop news image

Outvoted?

For the first time in years, there is real uncertainty going into the Fed's interest rate announcement today - and a chance that Warsh could end up losing control of the committee vote. Odds for two dissenting votes have doubled in the past week.

How many dissents? → ( poly.market/KP3qc6N )

Quick Links

What will Warsh say during July Press Conference? → ( poly.market/EyqRMYj )Trump publicly insults Warsh in July? → ( poly.market/1RgCv7D )Rate hike in September? → ( poly.market/0G03kDI )

Top news image

Season wrecked?

49ers Head Coach Kyle Shanahan is reportedly back on the job after a scary car crash that nearly cost him an eye. Shanahan reportedly swerved after dropping his phone.

49ers to the Big Game in '27? → ( poly.market/RTPfTQy )

Breaking NewsOdds

Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.00 and $5.00 on July 31, 2026?

View market →

54%
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+47%
---- ( poly.market/NBcUSWl )US x Cuba economic deal by December 31, 2026?

View market →

19%
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-20%
---- ( poly.market/RwLqpj1 )Will US crude oil reserves fall to 285M by August 31?

View market →

68%
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+14%
---- ( poly.market/HP6GmcR )See all Breaking → ( poly.market/5qi37xC )

Ending SoonEnds In

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

1d
-- ( poly.market/iiMGvO7 )Which company has best AI model end of July?

1d
-- ( poly.market/ta36mRM )U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by...?

2d
-- ( poly.market/GwEDPbW )See all Ending Soon → ( poly.market/NNxwEN7 )

NewListed

Will Max Miller drop out of the OH-07 race by August 9?

8h ago
------ ( poly.market/ZnlpWZJ )Next Claude Opus released by...?

11h ago
------- ( poly.market/GFJ3Zje )How many Israeli elections before government formed?

12h ago
------- ( poly.market/hBeg9SB )See all New → ( poly.market/o73NjUn )

Hot Polymarkets24H Volume

Presidential Election Winner 2028

$1.50M
------ ( poly.market/8aU2mTy )US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by...? (2 week pause)

$1.15M
------ ( poly.market/sjBDXcW )US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by...?

$842.2K
------- ( poly.market/Glc9YyA )See all Hot Polymarkets → ( poly.market/ZhjwRsK )

Top SportsStarts In

Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex de Minaur vs Stefanos Tsitsipas

5d
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$240.1K ( poly.market/oWnNfip )MLB World Series Champion 2026

94d
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$128.7K ( poly.market/vXP76aD )LALIGA: 2027 Champion

305d
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$120.8K ( poly.market/1zYqQuz )EPL: 2027 Champion

305d
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$77.0K ( poly.market/K3h2GUq )See all Top Sports → ( poly.market/ILebmFf )

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