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Weekend warriors?
Fri Jul 31, 2026 · 09:19 AM EDT
Polygraph by PolymarketPolygraph by Polymarket ( polymarket.com )July 31st, 2026Unsubscribe ( track.customer.io/manage_subscription_…ujtC-s5g== )
Welcome back to your daily bear crawl through the Polymarket trenches.
$20 FREE with $10 first deposit to Polymarket USA - Download on the App Store - code POLYGRAPH - $500 to $1,041 if the Rangers beat the Astros tonight ( polymarket.us/polygraph )
What's cookin' today:
Top NewsTop news image
Weekend warriors
With Bibi back from DC, some OSINT analysts think a new chapter in the war is about to begin. But Polymarket traders aren't so sure.
Check odds → ( poly.market/ftW8ICI )
Quick Links
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed? → ( poly.market/xLuKCUj )Israel airspace closure? → ( poly.market/4S7R8ej )
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Unc energy
We learned yesterday that Ken Griffin's Citadel were buyers of last resort for Leopold Aschenbrenner's troubled AI fund. What's next for Leopold?
Fund wind-down? → ( poly.market/hQIuuMG )
Quick Links
Fresh capital? → ( poly.market/O0oBAfd )Federal charges? → ( poly.market/cYrBgjn )
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Bucs not a taker on Baker
Baker Mayfield is reportedly feeling "disrespected" and "undervalued" by Tampa Bay's contract offer as Bucs camp opens. Is it a bad sign when the starting QB is mad before August even starts?
NFC South Champs? → ( polymarket.com/event/pro-football-nfc-south-champion )
Breaking NewsOdds
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
View market →
91%
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+87%
---- ( poly.market/UgYuOKs )Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?
View market →
89%
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+45%
---- ( poly.market/ZR7OPCF )Will Abdul El-Sayed win Wayne County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?
View market →
80%
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+40%
---- ( poly.market/fZBX3Wa )See all Breaking → ( poly.market/PwHJeSi )
Ending SoonEnds In
Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?
11h
--- ( poly.market/OM8ghbj )Who will Trump publicly insult by July 31?
11h
--- ( poly.market/B9Wn2Kv )"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office (Higher Strikes)
2d
-- ( poly.market/hAZqOCa )See all Ending Soon → ( poly.market/CnrlDyi )
NewListed
Missouri passes ballot measure banning abortion and underage transgender surgeries?
14h ago
------- ( poly.market/qPUVbiN )Will Trump praise Allah again by August 31?
14h ago
------- ( poly.market/F3SFltz )Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by August 31?
14h ago
------- ( poly.market/9DRtG6N )See all New → ( poly.market/67jpl9r )
Hot Polymarkets24H Volume
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
$435.6K
------- ( poly.market/RvwxTti )Presidential Election Winner 2028
$415.0K
------- ( poly.market/oRTpyxv )Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?
$259.6K
------- ( poly.market/3GIhInU )See all Hot Polymarkets → ( poly.market/gtEE050 )
Top SportsStarts In
Ballon d'Or Winner 2026
91d
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$394.9K ( poly.market/PbdIMr8 )MLB World Series Champion 2026
92d
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$377.1K ( poly.market/YXP5IF2 )NBA: 2027 Champion
334d
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$237.1K ( poly.market/jN3fM9T )See all Top Sports → ( poly.market/6B8qP8d )
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