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Hormuz route under fire
Tue Aug 04, 2026 · 08:46 AM EDT
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What’s moving today:
Top NewsTop news image
Hormuz route under fire
Iran has struck a second cargo ship in 24 hours near the U.S.-backed southern passage through the Strait of Hormuz. Traders are weighing whether escalating attacks will keep traffic disrupted through September.
Check odds → ( poly.market/GglVmZp )
Quick Links
Iran successfully targets shipping on August 4? → ( poly.market/F8h9rXn )Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...? → ( poly.market/C3MgqWE )
Top news image
Congress buys more time
The Senate moved to avert a shutdown through December as lawmakers race toward summer recess. With floor time rapidly disappearing, traders are pricing whether the CLARITY Act can still reach Trump’s desk this year.
Check odds → ( poly.market/Fssp2ca )
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Government shutdown by October 1? → ( poly.market/ffie5zA )SAVE America Act becomes law this year? → ( poly.market/jrjkD3R )
Top news image
Trump turns on Pirro
Pirro’s office abandoned the Reflecting Pool case after evidence pointed to a botched renovation. Trump says she “choked” under pressure, fueling questions about whether she survives the month as D.C. U.S. attorney.
Check odds → ( poly.market/uIbOkyE )
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Who will be Trump's next attorney general? → ( poly.market/LyjUc2o )
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The richest got richer-er
The Dodgers were already the richest and most talented team in MLB. Then they landed the best available pitcher at the trade deadline, plus other pieces. Can they be stopped? Trade on the new-look, better-than-ever two-time defending champs against the Cubs tonight.
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Breaking NewsOdds
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 10, 2026?
View market →
71%
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+32%
---- ( poly.market/cFrqt4d )US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?
View market →
35%
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+17%
---- ( poly.market/78vGX3H )Todd Blanche confirmed as Attorney General by August 30?
View market →
80%
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+13%
---- ( poly.market/J9uVcJY )See all Breaking → ( poly.market/SVl0GWI )
Ending SoonEnds In
Israel agrees to Board of Peace Gaza plan by August 7?
3d
-- ( poly.market/WGB0kft )See all Ending Soon → ( poly.market/1usvWq1 )
NewListed
Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by...?
8h ago
------ ( poly.market/K5pvRPW )US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?
9h ago
------ ( poly.market/7QN475I )Will Ukraine target Moscow by...?
12h ago
------- ( poly.market/FaOv9zP )See all New → ( poly.market/xLSRjrl )
Hot Polymarkets24H Volume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by...?
$1.64M
------ ( poly.market/lCIVO7X )Fed Decision in September?
$1.18M
------ ( poly.market/poZ6w8F )US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by...? (2 week pause)
$1.03M
------ ( poly.market/z0yBtWK )Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
$711.8K
------- ( poly.market/EilGAko )See all Hot Polymarkets → ( poly.market/YUuWpIv )
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