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Michigan Senate race gets ugly

Mon Aug 10, 2026 · 08:37 AM EDT

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Polygraph by PolymarketPolygraph by Polymarket ( poly.market/2U4VsSw )August 10th, 2026Unsubscribe ( track.customer.io/manage_subscription_…WEvuRr0w== )
Welcome back to your daily bear crawl through the Polymarket trenches.

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What's cookin' today:

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VERY DIFFERENT America's

Odds in the crucial Michigan Senate race are tightening as Trump takes aim at the wife of progressive nominee Abdul El-Sayed, calling him a "man of hate." El-Sayed, who would be the first Muslim Senator if elected, has accused Trump of pooping "in the middle" of the Oval Office.

Check odds → ( poly.market/9OYyS5a )Top news image

Who needs Hormuz anyway?

Is Trump preparing to "walk away" from the Iran war? Multiple media reports are suggesting that Trump could be on the brink of declaring the war over even without a Hormuz deal, as alternative oil routes are developed.

Hormuz normalization odds fall → ( poly.market/5tiOAyW )Top news image

Freedom of (downward) movement

Former NBA player Enes Kanter Freedom says he's declaring for the 2027 WNBA Draft, as part of his protest against the league's transgender player policies. Traders briefly entertained the bit - then remembered how drafts work, sending his odds into free-fall.

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Breaking NewsOdds

US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?

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29%
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